Late February Weather Alert: Heavy and Above-Average Rainfall Forecast Across Rwanda

The Ministry in charge of Disaster Management (MINEMA) has issued a weather advisory for February 21 to 28, 2026, warning that thunderstorms and heavy rainfall are expected in various parts of the country. During this period, residents are strongly advised to remain indoors during storms and avoid contact with metal objects or structures in the rain. For additional information or assistance, you can call 170.

According to the Rwanda Meteorology Agency (Meteo Rwanda), rainfall totals during these days are expected to range between 40 and 150 millimeters, which is above the long‑term average for this time of year. Depending on location, there may be 4 to 6 rainy days throughout the week.

The forecasted rainfall is influenced by the northward movement of the Inter‑Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) from the southern hemisphere toward the equator, combined with a weak active phase of the Madden‑Julian Oscillation (MJO). These atmospheric patterns tend to bring increased moisture into the region, contributing to more frequent and heavier rain.

Temperature and Wind Conditions

•Daytime high temperatures: 21°C to 30°C

•Nighttime low temperatures: 9°C to 18°C

•Wind speeds: Moderate to strong winds of 4 to 12 m/s are expected across the country

Safety Recommendations

Residents are encouraged to:

•Stay safe indoors during thunderstorms

•Secure loose outdoor objects that could be blown by strong winds

•Avoid open fields, tall trees, and metal equipment during rainfall

Please stay tuned to local weather updates and follow guidance from authorities to remain safe during this weather period.